What You Need to Know About Michael Moore's Outrageous Donald Trump Prediction

December 9th 2016

Willie Burnley Jr.

When filmmaker and political provocateur Michael Moore predicted in July that Donald Trump would win the election, conventional wisdom - in addition to the political establishment - said that he was dead wrong. On November 8th, however, it was conventional wisdom that was buried.

michael moore

Now Moore is back with another bombshell prediction.

This time, it's that Donald Trump will never take office. On The Late Night with Seth Meyers, Moore made the case that the Electoral College may step in and stop Trump, saying:

“He’s not president ’til noon on January 20th of 2017. … That’s more than six weeks away. Would you not agree, regardless of which side of the political fence you’re on, this has been the craziest election year? Nothing anyone predicted has happened—the opposite has happened. So is it possible, just possible, that in these next six weeks, something else might happen—something crazy, something we’re not expecting?”

The scenario is possible, but highly unlikely.

Although a group of faithless electors known as the Hamilton Electors are trying to encourage their colleagues to deny Trump an electoral victory, such an event has never taken place in the history of the United States.

Faithless electors, those members of the electoral college who defy the majority opinion of the state they represent, only pop up about twice per election. That's because many states have penalties ranging from fines to felonies for losing the faith.

Even if these electors denied Trump a victory, if Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton failed to reach 270 votes, the election would be decided by the House of Representatives — something that has only happened once, in the election of 1824. And given that Trump's cabinet picks have been largely celebrated by Republicans, it wouldn’t be surprising for even that unlikely scenario to grant him the presidency.